Beyond the Wind - a Weather Blog
Beyond the wind, beyond the rain and snow, the storms, tornadoes and hurricanes, lies the anticipation and prediction of these phenomena. I will use this blog to report weather-related events and tell what my favorite weather-related sites are.
We are coming up on hurricane season, and recent model runs of the Global Forecasting System (GFS) are showing a lot of activity. They seem to show a series of little storms coming out of the Caribbean, crossing Florida and into the Atlantic, followed by two Cape Verde storms one after the other in the Atlantic. These have not materialized as yet, and the two areas that the Atlantic Outlook speaks about don't seem to be capable of developing into tropical storms.
Nevertheless, I will keep a watch. I remember last year's SUUSI hurricane, a storm that appeared on the GFS in early July that suggested that on 2004 July 18, a major hurricane would strike Charleston, South Carolina, causing people from that area to run back home from SUUSI. Then it would strike SUUSI itself two days later with 60-70 mph winds, torrential rains, tree smashes all over the place, and power outages. That would, of course, have wrecked SUUSI. However, a later run showed it missing the coast instead, and runs after that did not show it at all. It was gone. And, rather than hurricane, we had the sunniest and best weather all summer long at SUUSI. So to me GFS that far out suggests possibilities rather than predicts actual events.
So far this summer, after a cool spring, the weather seems much nicer, with warmer temperatures and far less rain, and as of late, crystal blue skies. Hope it continues to SUUSI time. A cool spell should come the next few days, but it will be short lived.
We are coming up on hurricane season, and recent model runs of the Global Forecasting System (GFS) are showing a lot of activity. They seem to show a series of little storms coming out of the Caribbean, crossing Florida and into the Atlantic, followed by two Cape Verde storms one after the other in the Atlantic. These have not materialized as yet, and the two areas that the Atlantic Outlook speaks about don't seem to be capable of developing into tropical storms.
Nevertheless, I will keep a watch. I remember last year's SUUSI hurricane, a storm that appeared on the GFS in early July that suggested that on 2004 July 18, a major hurricane would strike Charleston, South Carolina, causing people from that area to run back home from SUUSI. Then it would strike SUUSI itself two days later with 60-70 mph winds, torrential rains, tree smashes all over the place, and power outages. That would, of course, have wrecked SUUSI. However, a later run showed it missing the coast instead, and runs after that did not show it at all. It was gone. And, rather than hurricane, we had the sunniest and best weather all summer long at SUUSI. So to me GFS that far out suggests possibilities rather than predicts actual events.
So far this summer, after a cool spring, the weather seems much nicer, with warmer temperatures and far less rain, and as of late, crystal blue skies. Hope it continues to SUUSI time. A cool spell should come the next few days, but it will be short lived.
posted by Jim at 10:25 AM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home