Thursday, June 30, 2005

Active July?

Just this past week, we had another tropical storm. Tropical Storm Bret blew up in the Gulf of Mexico, but then almost immediately hit southern Mexico. I did not think much of this; after all, there isn't much room in the Gulf, but then I found this "radio" announcer on the Internet:

http://radio.nhcwx.com/flghchp/displayimage.php?album=2&pos=7

The announcer, Mike Naso, said on June 29 that Bret was actually more dangerous than it looked, and that it was still producing a hurricane-like swirl in inland Mexico. If it had gone farther north, he said, then it would have strengthened to at least Category 3 and hit Texas or Louisiana.

That may be a harbinger of things to come. There still seems to be a storm in mid-July. Now the GFS says there will be one on July 7 that will turn away and fade out, and a more menacing one on July 16 that will hit Southern Florida. That was on the 12Z run. The 18Z run shows it approaching the Carolinas. Either of these would make a mess out of SUUSI.

Hopefully these will vanish by the time SUUSI comes, and it could, since the GFS is notoriously inaccurate out 16 days. But with it predicting two named storms in two weeks in July, this could be a really big hurricane year.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home