Arthur/Alma the Sex-Change Bear

Earlier I reported indications this week of a hurricane or tropical storm hitting Florida and then coming up the coast. Later runs of the GFS showed the storm to stall out in the Gulf of Mexico or the Bay of Campeche. When the storm first formed, it wandered into the Pacific, becoming that basin's first storm of the season, Alma. Alma headed back inland and lost its tropical characteristics. It then entered the Caribbean, and reformed, whereupon it was given the name of Arthur, the first Atlantic storm. So it went through a sex change. I have been waiting for a storm to do that. But in any case, Alma the Bear, which became Arthur the Bear, fizzled out because it stayed on land too long - it even formed on land.

The lastest run of GFS that I show shows no tropical storm development.